Fibonacci Strategy

The Fibonacci strategy is an old strategy that helps traders to make informed trade decisions. This strategy works best when the market is trending. We have retracement levels such as 38%, 50%, and 68.1% and the extension levels such as 121%, 138.2%, and 161.8%.

When the Fibonacci retracement goes beyond 100% level, it becomes an extension and this implies a new trend is being formed.

Leonardo De Pisa, a famous mathematician, introduced the Fibonacci ratios and they are 0.382, 0.50, 0.786, 0.886, 1.27, 1.41, 1.618, 2.0, 2.24, 2.618, 3.14, and 3.618.

Traders apply these levels to their charts right from the start of a trend to the end in order to identify potential support and resistance levels.

Basically, the application of Fibonacci levels to the trading chart is important most especially where Moving Averages and trendlines meet or converge (price is normally expected to bounce or drop at this point).

The strategy is used by traders to identify key support and resistance levels. In the image below, buying at Fibonacci level 50% can be a good decision with the stop-loss placed few pips below 61.8%.

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FIBONACCI LEVELS:

GBPUSD DAILY CHART – 24TH MARCH 2019 (SUN 23:53 GMT):

Fibonacci

EURUSD DAILY CHART – 24TH MARCH 2019 (SUN 23:32 GMT):

Fibonacci

EURUSD DAILY CHART – 21ST MARCH 2019 (THUR 22:06 GMT): Price is currently hovering at the 1.13720 area after facing rejection at the upper descending trend line at the 1.14500 resistance area.  Resistance is now at 1.14500 area while immediate support lies at the 1.13200 level. A much stronger support is at 1.12920 area while the Bears last strong support remains at 1.1200 area.

Fibonacci

AFTER

Fibonacci

EURUSD DAILY CHART – 12TH MARCH 2019 (TUE 16:28 GMT): Price appears to have bounced at the 1.1200 support area.  Resistance is at 1.1350 area where we have a cluster of moving averages (50 Day MA and 100 Day MA). Immediate strong support is currently at the 1.1200 area.

Fibonacci

AFTER

Fibonacci

GBPUSD DAILY CHART – 10TH MARCH 2019 (SUN 20:33 GMT): Price has been falling in the last seven trading days and a bounce is expected anytime soon at the current level. Resistance is at 1.31750 area and a break above this level, price will target 1.3350 resistance level. Immediate support is at 1.28858 area, while the next support is at 1.2775 area.

Fibonacci

AFTER

Fibonacci

USDCHF DAILY CHART – 10TH MARCH 2019 (SUN 19:47 GMT): Price appears to be rejected at the 1.01282 resistance area and may possibly fall towards 0.99890 support area where we have the ascending trend line.  Resistance is at 1.01282 area and a break above this level, price will target 1.02000 resistance level. Immediate support is at 1.00629 area, while the next support is at 0.99890.

Fibonacci

AFTER

Fibonacci

EURUSD DAILY CHART – 3RD MARCH 2019 (SUN 18:05 GMT): Price appears to be rejected at the 50 Day MA and Descending Trend line area and may possibly fall towards 1.1200 support area.  Resistance is at 1.14200 area where we have the 100 Day MA. Immediate strong support is at the 1.1300 area where price has tested more that six times in the last eight months.

Fibonacci

AFTER

Fibonacci

NZDUSD DAILY CHART – 16TH FEBRUARY 2019 (SAT 16:09 GMT): Price bounced (weak bounce) out of the consolidation zone where we have a cluster of moving averages at the 0.67449 area, 23.6% Monthly Fibo level.  Immediate support is at the 0.67606 area where the Daily 38.2% Fibo level is with the cluster of moving averages.  Resistance is at 0.69257 area where we have the descending trendline. Above this level is the 0% Fibo resistance level at the 0.69682 area.

Fibonacci

NZDUSD WEEKLY CHART – 16TH FEBRUARY 2019 (SAT 15:24 GMT): Weekly resistance is at the 50% Fibo level – at 0.69891 area, and weekly support is at 0.66935 area at 23.6% Fibo level.

Fibonacci

NZDUSD MONTHLY CHART – 16TH FEBRUARY 2019 (SAT 15:12 GMT): Monthly resistance is at the 38.2% Fibo level – at 0.71371 area, and support is at 0.67449 area at 23.6% Fibo level.

Fibonacci

EURUSD DAILY CHART – 16TH FEBRUARY 2019 (SAT 14:03 GMT):  Price bounced at the 1.12341 area.  Immediate support is at the 1.1254 area where the Daily 88.6% Fibo level is.  Resistance is at 1.13504 area where we have the Weekly 23.6% Fibo level. Stronger resistance is at the 1.13918 area where we have a cluster of 50 and 100 moving averages.

Fibonacci

GBPUSD DAILY CHART – 16TH FEBRUARY 2019 (SAT 12:48 GMT):  Price was rejected at the 1.27712 Daily support area.  Immediate support is at the 1.27712 area where the ascending trendline and the Weekly 38.2% Fibo level is.  Resistance is at 1.29978 area where we have the Day 200 EMA. 

Fibonacci

 

USDCAD DAILY CHART – 9TH FEBRUARY 2019 (SAT 16:56 GMT):  Price was rejected at the 1.32950 Daily resistance area. Price also closed below the 1.32832 Weekly resistance area. Immediate Daily support is at the 1.32077 area where we have the 100 Day Moving Average. However, strong Daily resistance is at 1.3350 area where the 50% Daily Fibo converges with the descending trendline and the 50 Day Simple Moving Average.

Fibonacci

 

USDJPY DAILY CHART – 19TH JANUARY 2019 (SAT 20:85 GMT): Price closed above the strong resistance at 109.229 area.  Immediate resistance is at 110.290 area where we have the 61.8% Daily Fibo level. Support is at the 109.376 area where the ascending trendline and the 50% Weekly Fibo level. The 111.200 area is where we have the convergence of moving averages.

Fibonacci

USDJPY WEEKLY CHART – 19TH JANUARY 2019 (SAT 20:30 GMT): Weekly resistance is at the 61.8% Fibo level – at 110.611 area, and weekly support is at 109.376 area at 50% Fibo level.

Fibonacci

USDJPY MONTHLY CHART – 19TH JANUARY 2019 (SAT 20:14 GMT): Monthly resistance is at the 50% Fibo level – at 112.367 area, and support is at 105.340 area at 23.6% Fibo level.

Fibonacci

EURUSD DAILY CHART – 19TH JANUARY 2019 (SAT 19:50 GMT):

Fibonacci

USDCAD DAILY CHART – 19TH JANUARY 2019 (SAT 19:38 GMT):

Fibonacci

USDCHF DAILY CHART – 19TH JANUARY 2019 (SAT 19:27 GMT):

Flag

GBPUSD DAILY CHART – 19TH JANUARY 2019 (SAT 18:56 GMT):  Price was rejected at the 1.29987 Daily resistance area. Price also closed below the 1.28765 Monthly support area and above the 1.28581 Daily support (23.6% daily Fibo level) and 1.28501 weekly support (50% weekly Fibo level). Immediate support is at the 1.27712 area where the ascending trendline converges with the 38.2 Daily Fibo level and the 50 Day EMA.

Fibonacci

 

USDCAD DAILY CHART – 12TH JANUARY 2019 (SAT 22:15 GMT):

Fibonacci

 

USDCAD WEEKLY CHART – 12TH JANUARY 2019 (SAT 20:56 GMT): Price was rejected at the 1.36627 weekly resistance area. Price also closed below the 1.32832 area where we have the 23.6% weekly Fibo level. Immediate support is at the 1.30501 area where the ascending trendline converges with the 38.2 weekly Fibo level.

Fibonacci

USDCAD MONTHLY CHART – 12TH JANUARY 2019 (SAT 20:35 GMT): Monthly resistance is at the 23.6% Fibo level – at 1.34973 area.

Fibonacci

USDCHF DAILY CHART – 12TH JANUARY 2019 (SAT 21:15 GMT): Price closed above the 50% daily Fibo level – at 0.98355. There is a cluster of Moving Averages above this level (we have the 200 EMA, 100 EMA, and 50EMA above the level). At the 0.99040 area, we have the 23.6% weekly Fibo resistance level and the 38.2% daily Fibo resistance level. Immediate support is at 0.97673 area while stronger support is at the 0.96497 area where the monthly, weekly and daily Fibo levels converge.

Fibonacci

 

USDCHF WEEKLY CHART – 12TH JANUARY 2019 (SAT 20:40 GMT): Price was rejected at the 0.97673 weekly support area – 38.2 weekly Fibo level. Price also formed a pin bar on the weekly chart. Immediate resistance is at the 0.99058 area where we have the 23.6% weekly Fibo level.

Fibonacci

 

USDCHF MONTHLY CHART – 12TH JANUARY 2019 (SAT 20:20 GMT): Monthly support is at the 23.6% Fibo level – at 0.96497 area.

Fibonacci

 

GBPUSD DAILY CHART – 12TH JANUARY 2019 (SAT 19:54 GMT): PRICE CLOSED AT 1.28380, FEW PIPS BELOW THE STRONG RESISTANCE AREA WHERE WE HAVE THE 100 DAY EMA. THE MONTHLY RESISTANCE IS AT 23.6% FIBO LEVEL – AT 1.28765.  THE WEEKLY RESISTANCE IS AT 50% FIBO LEVEL –  1.28501. THE DAILY RESISTANCE IS AT THE 88.6 FIBO LEVEL – AT  1.28661. IMMEDIATE SUPPORT IS AT 1.28138 WHERE WE HAVE THE 78.6% FIBO LEVEL. THE NEXT SUPPORT IS AT 1.2770 WHERE WE HAVE THE 50 DAY EMA.

Fibonacci

 

GBPUSD WEEKLY CHART – 12TH JANUARY 2019 (SAT 19:29 GMT): PRICE IS JUST BELOW THE 1.28501 WEEKLY RESISTANCE AREA (AT THE 50% WEEKLY FIBO LEVEL) – IMMEDIATE WEEKLY SUPPORT IS AT THE 1.27467 AREA WHERE WE HAVE THE 38.2% FIBO LEVEL. 

Fibonacci

 

GBPUSD MONTHLY CHART – 12TH JANUARY 2019 (SAT 19:20 GMT): MONTHLY RESISTANCE IS AT THE 23.6% FIBO LEVEL – AT 1.28765 AREA.

Fibonacci

 

EURUSD DAILY CHART – 12TH JANUARY 2019 (SAT 18:44 GMT): PRICE WAS REJECTED AT 1.15687 (ABOUT 30 PIPS ABOVE THE MONTHLY STRONG RESISTANCE WHICH IS AT 1.15320) WHERE WE HAVE THE 200 DAY EMA AND LOTS OF BEARS. PRICE ALSO CLOSED BELOW THE 1.14661 DAILY SUPPORT AREA WHERE WE HAVE THE 100 DAY EMA. WEEKLY SUPPORT IS AT THE 1.14434 (WHERE WE HAVE THE WEEKLY 38% FIBO SUPPORT LEVEL) WHILE THE DAILY SUPPORT IS AT THE 1.14184 AREA (WHERE WE THE 50% FIBO LEVEL AND THE 50 DAY EMA).

Fibonacci

 

EURUSD MONTHLY CHART – 8TH JANUARY 2019 (MON 21:49 GMT): RESISTANCE IS AT THE 23.6% LEVEL – AT 1.15320 AREA.

Fibonacci

 

EURUSD WEEKLY CHART – 8TH JANUARY 2019 (MON 21:49 GMT): RESISTANCE IS AT THE 50% FIBO LEVEL – AT 1.15103 AREA. SUPPORT IS AT THE 38.2% FIBO LEVEL – AT 1.14434

Fibonacci

 

EURUSD DAILY CHART – 8TH JANUARY 2019 (MON 22:20 GMT): WEEKLY RESISTANCE IS AT 1.15103. STRONG RESISTANCE IS AT 1.15320 LEVEL (WHERE WE HAVE THE 23.6% MONTHLY FIBO LEVEL ALIGN WITH THE 78.6% DAILY FIBO LEVEL). SUPPORT IS AT THE WEEKLY 38.2% FIBO LEVEL – AT 1.14434.

Fibonacci

Fibonacci

In the image below, traders can sell at level 38.2% with stop-loss placed few pips above 50% Fibonacci level.

 

Fibonacci

The development of candlestick reversal patterns at certain Fibonacci levels also give traders some level of confidence when it comes to the use of the Fibonacci strategy.

Fibonacci

How Best To Draw Fibonacci Indicator on the MT4 Chart:

To draw Fibonacci indicator on a chart in a downtrend price movement, the indicator grid is dragged from the top (the high of the trend) to the bottom (the low of the trend) on the largest trend on the chart.

This is dragged from the tip of the wick at the highest candle of the trend, to the lowest tip of the wick of the lowest candle on the trend.

Fibonacci

 

To draw Fibonacci indicator on a chart in an uptrend price movement, the indicator grid is dragged from the bottom (the low of the trend) to the top (the high of the trend) on the largest rend on the chart.

This is dragged from the tip of the wick at the lowest candle of the trend, to the highest tip of the wick of the highest candle on the trend.

Fibonacci

 

Fibonacci and Elliott Wave:

Extension and retracement of price trend using Fibonacci can be combined with Elliott wave strategy to make good trading decisions. Fibonacci retracements at key levels (38.2%, 50% and 61.6%) tends to take price to extension levels (121.4%, 138.2% and 161.8%).

 

Fibonacci

Fibonacci

 

Fibonacci and Harmonic Pattern:

Retracement and extension of price trend using Fibonacci can be combined with Harmonic Patterns to make good trading decisions. Retracements at key levels (38.2%, 50%, and 61.6%) tend to take price to extension levels (121.4%, 138.2%, and 161.8%). Examples of harmonic patterns are Bat, Gartley, Crab, Butterfly, Shark, and Cypher.

Fibonacci

Fibonacci

How To Use The Fibonacci Strategy:

The best use of this strategy is by drawing the Fibonacci grid on the largest trend in the higher time frame. Example, weekly or daily time frame). Key support and resistance levels are then identified on the chart.

However, the same procedure is now repeated for lower time frames (for example 15 minute or 1hour time frame). Their key Fibonacci levels are also identified. Critical levels are formed at certain points where higher time frame key level aligns with lower time frame level.

The Weekly or Daily Fibonacci levels will also serve as major turning points for the 15 minute and 1-hour time frame Fibonacci levels during the trading period.

Technically, Fibonacci key level alignment with other indicators (for example, 50EMA, or 200 EMA) or trendlines helps traders to know when the price will bounce or fall.

Traders buy on a retracement at the Fibonacci support level when the price is going up. While they sell on a retracement at the Fibonacci resistance level when the price is falling.

Fibonacci key levels can be used with support and resistance levels to make good trade decisions.

Fibonacci

 

How To Take Enter Buy Or Sell Trades Using The Fibonacci Strategy:

Buy or sell at Fibonacci retracement level 38.2%, 50% or 61.8%. For retracement in an uptrend, traders may buy at 38.2% and stop-loss may be placed few pips below 50% level. Alternatively, traders may buy at 50% retracement level with stop-loss placed a few pips below 61.8%.

For retracement in a downtrend, traders may sell at 38.2% and stop-loss may be placed few pips above 50% level. Alternatively, traders may sell at 50% retracement level with stop-loss placed a few pips above 61.8%.

In a strong trend, retracement usual occur at the 38.% level. In a weak trend, price normally retraces at the 61.2% and 76.4% levels. A complete retracement of 100% or more will imply that the trend is over.

Fibonacci

 

How To Take Profit Using The Fibonacci Strategy:

Profit can be taken at the following extension levels: 121%, 138.2%, and 161.8%. These points also form good exit points for trades.

 

Fibonacci

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